If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways talk about timing. The earlier the purchase price appears the more likely there will be a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has now become a big earner for them. They should do this since they are only too conscious of the serious punters are becoming much shrewder in this particular market and can exploit any snippets of news which could provide them with an edge. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in a few minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the rising IBO88 that Ladbrokes and other such big bookmakers are willing to take a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This really is clearly great news for the arb maker. Which means that the utmost bets they will accept on the bet are much higher.
There are many kinds of soccer bets. Firstly there is the match winner. This really is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the very first goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total quantities of yellow and red cards and so forth. In reality anything where odds can be set to will provide a betting opportunity.
So that are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, you can find a lot of outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a complete waste of time too. Both these types of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the chances consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have quite a few possible outcomes. We are searching for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer industry is to open accounts with European bookmakers because the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions with this sport. They are going to price up the sport in their own individual country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This really is great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their countries they are depending on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between teams of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic when it comes to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of the house team get talked up as well as the odds could easily get skewed within their favour as the weight of cash is overly wagered within their direction.
With that in mind the large bookmakers provide an early price, they are going to often advertise it in the national papers and generally stick with it. Which means that a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt cash in their direction by providing different odds. If the would happen the arb may be around for a considerable amount of time.
There will always be discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers tend to stick across the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ exactly what the odds needs to be just like you and me. They may be basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae however they still must form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong as well as other firms can take a totally different take a look at the end result of the game. An entirely different view will only result in a slight variation in the odds but this can be sufficient to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be protected by a number of different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however add a complication. Although quite easy for finding arbs, the mere proven fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you will get spotted by the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they will probably be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
This is a fairly obscure section of betting and when someone ended up being to check your bank account over several months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it might ring alarm bells. The motto the following is to dilute the bets by betting on as much different kind of sport and events as you can so your accounts have varied bets to them. This shouldn’t be considered a problem as numerous different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties will even produce arbs and they are generally less likely to attract awareness of you and the maximum bets is going to be higher.
As before you cannot control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is actually a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to a single winning one can be of use on your account. The point here is which not so many people are considering the lower European divisions and it also may become clear that the betting pattern is a little unusual. This is also true in case your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be considered a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. If a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and then he is the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices since the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can work as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and they are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all concurrently, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new prices are the one that wont change the previous prices are one that is about to and thus may be lost should you be not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be information on timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more likely to show up.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient within the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for that total number of bookings in a game. Some of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly yet others did not. This can change the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s consider the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for a red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say chances of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, probably the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a medical history of animosity involving the teams by which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this sort of bet will never figure strongly within your plans. Also it is unusual to find information being issued that can impact the total bookings bet. But a basic bit of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The actual final outcome is not can be expected excessive sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards however it not so difficult to check the odds.