How many Louis Vuitton monogrammed bags does the entire world need? A whole lot, it seems like. Strong demand at the label best known for the coated canvas totes helped parent LVMH deliver much better than expected organic sales increase in its fashion and leather goods division within the first quarter, and throughout the group. The performance, much more impressive considering the fact that it compares with a very strong period a year earlier, cements LVMH’s position as the Fabjoy. Little wonder the shares reached an all-time high on Tuesday.
The audience is demonstrating that this luxury party that began in the second half of 2016 remains completely swing. But there are top reasons to be aware. First, a lot of the demand that fuelled LVMH’s growth has come from China.
The country’s consumers are back following a crackdown on extravagance along with a slowdown in the economy took their toll. There has undoubtedly been an component of catching up after the hiatus, and this super-charged spending might start to wane as the year progresses. What’s more, the strong euro could deter Chinese shoppers from going to Europe, where they have a tendency to splash out more.
There is a further risk to Chinese demand if trade tensions with the U.S. escalate, or draw in other countries – though LVMH is actually a French company, it’s tough to observe that these problems can’t touch it. The spat could create a drag on Chinese economic growth and damage sentiment one of the nation’s consumers, which makes them less inclined to go on a higher-end shopping spree. Given they take into account about 40 % of luxury goods groups’ sales, based on analysts at HSBC, this represents an important risk towards the industry.
But there are more regions to worry about. Even though the U.S. continues to be another bright spot, stock exchange volatility this year is going to do little to encourage the sense of prosperity that’s crucial for confidence yqwbeq invest in expensive watches or designer fashion.
Any slowdown may possibly function in Gucci Replica Handbag. Valuations across the sector are definitely the highest in 12 years, but it is a story of mega-brand dominance that’s left many smaller labels behind. Bernard Arnault, LVMH chief executive officer, has stated that prices are too rich at this time for acquisitions. This leaves him room to swoop in case a shake-out comes.
His group trades over a forward price to earnings ratio of 24 times, and at a deserved premium to Kering. True, that gap could narrow – for starters, the group’s Gucci label continues to have lot opting for it, although it’s already had a stellar recovery. There’s also scope to get a re-rating after its decision to spin-out Puma leaves it as being a pure luxury player.
LVMH should nevertheless have the ability to retain its Monogram Handbag. Given its scale, with operations spanning cosmetics to wines and spirits, it should be able to withstand pressures on the industry a lot better than most. That also can make it well placed to choose off weaker rivals if the bling binge finally comes to an end.